Alfter vs Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
17.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
DUR
5 - 0
ALT
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 0
SVD
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
VFL
1 - 4
ALT
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PES
1 - 1
ALT
65%
18%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ALT
1 - 2
BGP
30%
22%
49%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SCF
1 - 1
PES
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BGP
4 - 1
SCF
75%
15%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SCF
2 - 0
SVB
46%
22%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
WES
3 - 1
SCF
46%
21%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SCF
1 - 2
SIE
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |