Alpicat C B B vs Montoliu A A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpicat C B B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
ALP
34%
22%
44%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ALP
1 - 2
ART
58%
20%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SER
2 - 3
ALP
31%
22%
47%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ALP
7 - 0
MAS
70%
16%
13%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BJC
1 - 1
ALP
42%
21%
37%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Montoliu A A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
SER
20%
17%
63%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MAS
0 - 0
MON
60%
20%
21%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MON
3 - 4
BJC
25%
20%
54%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MON
1 - 3
ALB
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 2
MON
48%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |