Alphense Boys vs Nieuwenhoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alphense Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
DEL
0 - 1
ALP
56%
21%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ALP
2 - 2
ELI
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SCF
2 - 1
ALP
53%
23%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
NIE
1 - 3
ALP
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ALP
2 - 2
JOS
53%
23%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
NIE
0 - 1
DEZ
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
NIE
2 - 2
LEO
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LEO
2 - 2
NIE
54%
24%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NIE
3 - 1
ADO
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
NIE
1 - 3
ALP
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |