Alphense Boys vs HBS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alphense Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
LON
2 - 1
ALP
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ALP
2 - 1
SIL
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
RKV
1 - 1
ALP
21%
23%
56%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
ALP
3 - 0
DEZ
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
VVE
3 - 3
ALP
20%
19%
61%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
HBS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HBS
1 - 1
RKV
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
DEZ
0 - 0
HBS
43%
23%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
HBS
4 - 1
VVE
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
RKZ
1 - 5
HBS
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
HBS
0 - 1
ALC
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |