Alpendorada vs Valadares Gaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
13º
11º
39
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
33% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 1
ALP
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 2
MAC
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 1
ALP
65%
21%
14%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 0
CAS
38%
24%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BMA
2 - 1
ALP
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 2
RES
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 0
CAM
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 2
VAL
11%
17%
72%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 2
LEC
44%
27%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
VAL
24%
26%
51%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |