Alpendorada vs Valadares Gaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
13º
11º
39
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
33% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 1
ALP
53%
22%
26%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 2
MAC
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 1
ALP
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 0
CAS
38%
24%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BMA
2 - 1
ALP
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 2
RES
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 0
CAM
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 2
VAL
11%
17%
72%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 2
LEC
44%
27%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
VAL
24%
26%
51%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |