2ª Madrid Round 3

Alpedrete vs Union de Aravaca analysis

Alpedrete Union de Aravaca
13 ELO 17
21.9% Tilt 13.4%
13589º General ELO ranking 13463º
2475º Country ELO ranking 2388º
ELO win probability
35.4%
Alpedrete
21.3%
Draw
43.3%
Union de Aravaca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
Alpedrete
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
43.3%
Win probability
Union de Aravaca
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alpedrete
+149%
+33%
Union de Aravaca

ELO progression

Alpedrete
Union de Aravaca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alpedrete
Alpedrete
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2023
CRG
Ciringanillos
1 - 0
Alpedrete
ALP
55%
20%
25%
14 16 2 0
10 Sep. 2023
ALP
Alpedrete
1 - 3
Gimnastica Colmenarejo
GDC
72%
15%
13%
16 13 3 -2
11 Jun. 2023
UAR
Union de Aravaca
3 - 4
Alpedrete
ALP
62%
18%
20%
15 17 2 +1
04 Jun. 2023
ALP
Alpedrete
4 - 2
CD El Escorial
EES
71%
15%
14%
14 11 3 +1
28 May. 2023
ALP
Alpedrete
1 - 3
Quijorna
QUI
82%
11%
7%
16 11 5 -2

Matches

Union de Aravaca
Union de Aravaca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2023
GDC
Gimnastica Colmenarejo
0 - 1
Union de Aravaca
UAR
36%
22%
42%
16 14 2 0
10 Sep. 2023
UAR
Union de Aravaca
2 - 2
CD Electrocor Las Rozas B
ELE
38%
22%
41%
16 19 3 0
11 Jun. 2023
UAR
Union de Aravaca
3 - 4
Alpedrete
ALP
62%
18%
20%
17 15 2 -1
04 Jun. 2023
QUI
Quijorna
1 - 4
Union de Aravaca
UAR
23%
20%
56%
16 12 4 +1
28 May. 2023
UAR
Union de Aravaca
6 - 3
ADC Castilla
CAS
89%
8%
3%
16 7 9 0