Alone De Guardamar vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alone De Guardamar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
CAS
2 - 1
ALC
58%
23%
19%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 4
OND
42%
25%
34%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
VIL
5 - 1
ALC
67%
20%
14%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 1
TOR
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
CRE
0 - 1
ALC
54%
24%
22%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
PEG
3 - 2
BUR
40%
29%
32%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 0
PEG
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
PEG
0 - 1
UTI
37%
27%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
PUÇ
4 - 1
PEG
39%
26%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
PEG
1 - 2
ALZ
50%
25%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |