Almoradiel vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almoradiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AEL
1 - 2
ALM
26%
23%
51%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALM
7 - 0
TEA
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
ASI
0 - 6
ALM
33%
23%
44%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 0
AJU
52%
21%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
TOB
0 - 1
ALM
41%
23%
36%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
DBA
1 - 2
VIL
39%
23%
38%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
AEL
3 - 1
VIL
29%
23%
48%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 1
TEA
64%
19%
17%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ASI
3 - 1
VIL
24%
22%
53%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 1
AJU
37%
23%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |