Almoguera C.F. vs Marchamalo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
43.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almoguera C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2025 |
MAR
4 - 1
ALM
51%
22%
28%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ATG
3 - 1
ALM
49%
21%
30%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
GUA
3 - 1
ALM
62%
18%
20%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ALM
2 - 5
GUA
40%
21%
40%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
ALM
3 - 4
ATG
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marchamalo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2025 |
MAR
4 - 1
ALM
51%
22%
28%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 3
DAM
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 0
ATG
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 2
MAR
56%
20%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ALO
1 - 2
MAR
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |