Almirante Brown vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
27%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
VSC
1 - 2
ALM
30%
30%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
BAN
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 2
PAT
42%
30%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ATT
4 - 3
ALM
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 3
OLI
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
CAU
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
TAL
2 - 2
SAR
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
GLP
3 - 0
SAR
61%
24%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
ALD
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 0
SAR
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |