Almirante Brown vs Atlanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
ALM
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 1
ESP
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALM
40%
27%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
ALM
4 - 1
ITA
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
FEN
1 - 0
ALM
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 0
UAI
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
COM
61%
23%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
ATL
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
BRO
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
COL
0 - 2
ATL
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |