Tercera Division G4 Round 11

AD Almería vs Real Jaén analysis

AD Almería Real Jaén
49 ELO 41
-0.5% Tilt 9.7%
26000º General ELO ranking 4775º
8452º Country ELO ranking 156º
ELO win probability
74.1%
AD Almería
17.9%
Draw
8%
Real Jaén

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
AD Almería
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8%
Win probability
Real Jaén
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

AD Almería
Real Jaén
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AD Almería
AD Almería
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 1973
ALM
AD Almería
3 - 1
UD Melilla
MEL
71%
18%
12%
48 43 5 0
11 Nov. 1973
AGD
AgD Ceuta
0 - 0
AD Almería
ALM
46%
26%
28%
48 42 6 0
04 Nov. 1973
ALM
AD Almería
2 - 0
Valdepeñas
CDB
68%
21%
12%
47 44 3 +1
31 Oct. 1973
MEL
UD Melilla
2 - 2
AD Almería
ALM
48%
23%
29%
48 45 3 -1
28 Oct. 1973
ORI
Orihuela CF
3 - 0
AD Almería
ALM
31%
28%
41%
50 39 11 -2

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 1973
REC
Recreativo
1 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
72%
19%
10%
41 52 11 0
11 Nov. 1973
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
Puertollano
PUE
55%
27%
18%
40 44 4 +1
04 Nov. 1973
MEL
UD Melilla
2 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
67%
22%
11%
41 45 4 -1
31 Oct. 1973
RJA
Real Jaén
0 - 2
Recreativo
REC
46%
26%
28%
43 50 7 -2
28 Oct. 1973
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 1
O Donnell
CDO
64%
22%
14%
43 38 5 0