Almeda vs MBD Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SEP
2 - 2
ALM
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 2
ESP
72%
15%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CBX
1 - 1
ALM
66%
17%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 3
SAN
47%
21%
33%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
ALM
34%
21%
45%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
MBD Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LIO
4 - 2
MON
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
VMV
1 - 1
LIO
31%
21%
48%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LIO
2 - 1
PRT
28%
22%
51%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
LLP
2 - 6
LIO
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
LIO
1 - 2
IBE
20%
19%
60%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |