Pref. Valenciana Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Almazora vs Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almazora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
CUL
1 - 3
ALM
10%
20%
71%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
BUR
39%
25%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
UDP
0 - 2
ALM
31%
26%
43%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 2
OND
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
ALM
21%
24%
56%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
VIJ
0 - 2
CAL
32%
23%
45%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
NUC
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CDC
0 - 5
CAL
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 0
SFF
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |