Almancilense vs Estrela Vendas Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
ALM
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 3
PIN
46%
25%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
ALM
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 0
MOU
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +3 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
OPE
0 - 0
ALM
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela Vendas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
EVN
0 - 0
55%
20%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ARM
1 - 1
EVN
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
EVN
0 - 2
FAR
11%
20%
69%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FCC
6 - 0
EVN
38%
22%
40%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
EVN
0 - 1
ORI
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |