Almancilense vs Aljustrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 2
MER
68%
17%
15%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 0
VIA
72%
16%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LUS
4 - 3
ALM
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
AMO
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 2
FAB
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ARM
2 - 3
ALJ
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALJ
1 - 0
LUS
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FAB
0 - 2
ALJ
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PMI
1 - 4
ALJ
27%
23%
51%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALJ
2 - 3
MOU
23%
22%
55%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |