Almagro vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 0
ALM
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 0
SAR
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 1
ALM
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
ALM
3 - 1
STM
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
ALM
1 - 2
ATL
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
DEF
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 0
ARM
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
TEM
1 - 1
DEF
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 1
PLA
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
DEF
36%
30%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |