Allschwil vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
44.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Allschwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
POR
4 - 1
ALL
45%
23%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ALL
2 - 1
BAS
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 1
ALL
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ALL
2 - 2
COL
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FCW
0 - 3
ALL
30%
22%
47%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 1
MOU
28%
22%
51%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 1
MOU
45%
22%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MOU
2 - 1
ALL
60%
21%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
COL
0 - 4
MOU
22%
21%
58%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 5
MOU
14%
18%
68%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +2 |