Alloa Athletic vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
ALL
3 - 3
DUN
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ALL
1 - 4
DUN
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 0
ALL
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
ALL
2 - 1
EDI
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
LIV
2 - 1
ALL
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
STE
0 - 4
LIV
12%
18%
71%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
STE
2 - 0
EDI
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CWB
1 - 1
STE
47%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
STE
2 - 2
STI
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ALB
1 - 3
STE
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |