Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
8º
4º
51
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ALL
0 - 1
AIR
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PET
0 - 2
ALL
9%
18%
72%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ALL
3 - 1
CLY
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
EDI
0 - 2
ALL
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 0
ALL
61%
23%
17%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
QOS
2 - 1
PET
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
EDI
1 - 3
QOS
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
QOS
1 - 0
FAL
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CLY
1 - 1
QOS
16%
20%
64%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
QOS
3 - 2
AIR
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |