Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
8º
4º
16
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AIR
4 - 0
ALL
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 2
FAL
39%
24%
38%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ALL
2 - 1
EDI
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
QOS
1 - 2
ALL
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
ALL
0 - 0
KHE
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PET
1 - 3
QOS
11%
18%
71%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PET
1 - 0
CLY
34%
27%
40%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 0
PET
76%
16%
7%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PET
0 - 3
AIR
10%
19%
71%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
PET
0 - 0
MON
12%
19%
69%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |