Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
ALL
0 - 1
AYR
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CLY
0 - 0
ALL
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
RAI
2 - 3
ALL
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
STJ
2 - 0
ALL
59%
25%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
ALL
1 - 6
FAL
51%
23%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
HIB
2 - 0
KIL
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CEL
1 - 0
HIB
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
HIB
1 - 4
DUN
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
MHE
0 - 2
HIB
45%
25%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 1
HIB
39%
27%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |