Alloa Athletic vs Gretna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
GRE
5 - 2
ALL
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
ALL
1 - 1
FOR
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
STI
1 - 2
ALL
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
ALL
1 - 2
RAI
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
DUM
1 - 1
ALL
43%
26%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 2
PAR
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
GRE
0 - 2
GRE
40%
24%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 2
AYR
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 0
STI
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
RAI
1 - 3
GRE
18%
21%
61%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |