Allerød vs Fredensborg BI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
63.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Allerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KAS
1 - 1
ALL
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ALL
0 - 2
SKJ
38%
25%
37%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ALL
1 - 0
FA2
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LSF
3 - 0
ALL
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ALL
0 - 1
SOL
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fredensborg BI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FRE
2 - 0
AVE
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
GVI
0 - 1
FRE
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 1
KAS
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SKJ
0 - 1
FRE
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FRE
2 - 1
FA2
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |