Alki vs APEP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
PAF
3 - 4
ALK
58%
22%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ENO
2 - 1
ALK
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
ALK
1 - 2
ENO
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
APE
0 - 4
ALK
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ALK
1 - 1
PAF
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
ENO
0 - 1
APE
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
APE
0 - 1
PAF
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
PAF
1 - 1
APE
57%
22%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
APE
0 - 4
ALK
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
APE
2 - 0
ENO
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |