Aljustrelense vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
68.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ORI
1 - 0
ALJ
76%
17%
7%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ANA
3 - 1
ALJ
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -3 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ALJ
0 - 0
PMI
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ALJ
1 - 0
TOU
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
TOU
2 - 0
ALJ
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
OLH
2 - 1
ARM
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MOU
1 - 5
OLH
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
OLH
5 - 0
1DE
68%
19%
12%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
RED
0 - 3
OLH
4%
11%
85%
|
48 | 10 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
FER
0 - 5
OLH
11%
19%
70%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |