Aljustrelense vs Messinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
RED
3 - 1
ALJ
19%
22%
59%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALJ
1 - 1
LAG
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FAB
2 - 0
ALJ
84%
13%
4%
|
25 | 71 | 46 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PAÇ
3 - 1
ALJ
86%
11%
4%
|
26 | 73 | 47 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
ALJ
0 - 1
OLI
13%
19%
69%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Messinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MES
1 - 1
SES
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
DES
0 - 2
MES
13%
20%
68%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MES
0 - 1
LAG
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |