Alicante vs CD Lorca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
ALI
4 - 1
ALB
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
ROD
2 - 2
ALI
55%
23%
23%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
ALI
4 - 0
CIE
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
RAY
3 - 2
ALI
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
ALI
3 - 1
ORI
73%
17%
11%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
LOR
1 - 2
JUM
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
LOR
0 - 5
IMP
34%
26%
40%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
ATC
4 - 0
LOR
55%
21%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
LOR
0 - 1
AGU
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
ALB
3 - 1
LOR
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |