Alicante vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
23%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
VIL
3 - 1
ALI
56%
20%
24%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
ALI
4 - 0
CIE
85%
9%
6%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
ATB
4 - 1
ALI
67%
17%
16%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
ALI
8 - 1
ELD
79%
12%
9%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
IMP
1 - 0
ALI
61%
18%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
CAS
2 - 0
ELD
66%
18%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
IMP
3 - 2
CAS
58%
19%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
CAS
1 - 0
JAV
73%
16%
12%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
CDS
1 - 2
CAS
38%
23%
40%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
CAS
1 - 0
CON
64%
18%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |