Alianza vs Juventud Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UES
3 - 3
ALI
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
ALI
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
ONC
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
FIR
0 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FAS
2 - 1
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 4
MET
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
UES
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
JUV
51%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 2
AGU
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 3
JUV
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |