Alianza vs Isidro Metapán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
VIS
1 - 0
ALI
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALA
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
FIR
2 - 0
ALI
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 0
ALI
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
CHA
32%
28%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Isidro Metapán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MET
1 - 0
AGU
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 1
MET
35%
26%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MET
3 - 2
JUV
67%
20%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
FAS
1 - 3
MET
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MET
2 - 0
BAL
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |