Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 1
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 0
JUV
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
UES
0 - 1
ALI
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
MET
33%
27%
41%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
ALI
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 0
FAS
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FAS
1 - 1
UES
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
MET
2 - 0
FAS
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FAS
2 - 0
ATL
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CDD
1 - 3
FAS
35%
30%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |