Alianza vs Alacranes del Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
ONC
0 - 0
ALI
29%
28%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ALI
3 - 1
SAL
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
VIS
2 - 0
ALI
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
MET
2 - 1
ALI
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 2
CHA
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alacranes del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
ALA
4 - 1
AGU
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
FAS
1 - 0
ALA
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ALA
1 - 1
FIR
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ONC
1 - 2
ALA
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
ALA
1 - 1
SAL
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |