Alianza Universidad vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
GAR
0 - 1
AUN
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
AUN
2 - 1
UTC
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
AYA
3 - 2
AUN
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
AUN
2 - 1
MUN
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
CAN
2 - 1
AUN
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
LOS
1 - 1
UNI
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
MEL
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 0
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 0
SAM
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
LOS
0 - 2
UNI
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |