Alianza Lima vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
26.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
AUR
1 - 3
ALI
43%
28%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ALI
2 - 1
GAL
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SAM
1 - 0
ALI
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 2
VAL
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 0
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 2
ALI
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 1
UNI
43%
29%
28%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 2
BOL
65%
22%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2008 |
SPC
0 - 1
UNI
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 1
CIE
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |