Alianza Lima vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
HUA
0 - 3
ALI
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 1
BIN
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
AUN
2 - 1
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 2
MEL
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 2
PAL
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
COM
0 - 1
GAR
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2019 |
HUA
3 - 1
COM
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
COM
4 - 0
UTC
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
BIN
3 - 1
COM
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
COM
0 - 1
AYA
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |