Alianza Lima vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 3
ALI
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 3
EQU
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALI
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 1
GAR
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
MEL
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CIE
3 - 2
COM
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
AYA
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
UTC
4 - 2
COM
28%
29%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
COM
5 - 2
ALI
68%
21%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |