Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
ALI
1 - 0
CAU
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CDE
0 - 1
ALI
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2003 |
COB
4 - 0
ALI
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
ALI
0 - 0
CIE
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
ALI
1 - 1
GLP
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
SPC
4 - 0
MEL
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SPC
6 - 1
UNI
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
CCP
1 - 0
SPC
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 1
SPC
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
SPC
6 - 0
CAU
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |