Alianza Lima vs Sport Boys Association analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 2
ALI
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
GAL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SBO
0 - 1
ALI
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
COB
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
SPC
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Boys Association
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SBO
1 - 1
COM
33%
28%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AYA
4 - 1
SBO
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SBO
0 - 1
ALI
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
SBO
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SBO
0 - 1
COM
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |