Alianza Lima vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 1
ALI
35%
27%
37%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
UTC
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
SPC
0 - 2
ALI
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 0
SAM
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 0
ALI
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 0
ALI
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
GAR
3 - 2
AUR
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 1
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 1
AUR
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 1
MEL
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |