Alianza Lima vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 1
VAL
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
COB
0 - 5
ALI
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ALI
4 - 2
AYA
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CIE
0 - 1
ALI
37%
27%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 2
SBO
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
AUR
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 0
HUA
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LEO
2 - 1
AUR
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 2
EQU
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |