Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 3
DEL
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
GAR
4 - 1
ALI
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
COM
0 - 0
ALI
40%
28%
33%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
ALI
3 - 2
SAM
55%
24%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 2
GAR
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 2
MEL
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HUA
2 - 0
MEL
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 1
MUN
53%
25%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 2
MEL
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |