Alianza Lima vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
HUA
0 - 1
ALI
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
LEO
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 2
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
SAN
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CIE
4 - 2
LEO
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
CIE
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
CIE
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
CIE
3 - 2
SAM
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |