Alianza Lima vs Academia Cantolao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 2
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
UTC
1 - 1
ALI
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
HUA
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SPC
0 - 0
ALI
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALI
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Academia Cantolao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 0
UTC
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HUA
1 - 1
CAN
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 1
CAN
72%
20%
8%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
SPC
12%
21%
68%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAN
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |