Alianza FC vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CHO
0 - 2
AFC
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
AFC
0 - 2
CHI
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
AMA
1 - 1
AFC
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AFC
4 - 1
TAU
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 0
AFC
71%
18%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SMI
4 - 0
VER
65%
20%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
SMI
1 - 2
CHO
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 0
SMI
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SMI
1 - 1
AMA
64%
20%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
TAU
0 - 0
SMI
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |