Alianza II vs Sporting San Miguelito II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 3
CDP
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
TFC
1 - 1
AFC
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
SMA
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 0
CDE
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
PCF
0 - 0
AFC
15%
20%
66%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SSM
0 - 0
CHA
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SSM
1 - 1
COL
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SSM
0 - 1
UME
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 0
SSM
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SSM
2 - 1
CEN
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |