A.Cristiana vs Defensor San Alejandro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A.Cristiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
MUN
3 - 1
ACR
36%
24%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ACR
2 - 0
MUN
52%
22%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor San Alejandro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 0
WAL
51%
23%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
WAL
0 - 0
DEF
42%
24%
35%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |