Algueña vs Hércules B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algueña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 1
POL
43%
26%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
3 - 0
ALG
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
ELC
1 - 0
ALG
67%
20%
13%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
ALG
2 - 1
ALC
56%
24%
21%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 1
ALG
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 2
ALC
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 0
HER
38%
24%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 2
HER
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
ALT
37%
27%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ALB
2 - 1
HER
25%
24%
51%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |