Algorfa vs Alicante Rvo. A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algorfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ASP
1 - 2
ALG
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 4
RAF
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
ALG
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 1
ALB
18%
21%
61%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 1
ALG
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alicante Rvo. A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
4 - 0
TOR
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
HON
0 - 2
ALI
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
3 - 4
SPO
33%
23%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RED
2 - 0
ALI
81%
12%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ASP
2 - 1
ALI
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |