Alginet vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alginet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CDA
1 - 1
ALG
13%
19%
68%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ALG
0 - 4
MAS
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
UDC
1 - 1
ALG
15%
21%
64%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 0
CAT
65%
21%
14%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
ALG
3 - 1
DEN
29%
26%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PEG
1 - 1
BEN
18%
24%
59%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SDS
1 - 1
PEG
73%
18%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
PEG
3 - 0
ALC
22%
24%
54%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CTS
2 - 2
PEG
71%
18%
11%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CAN
3 - 0
PEG
70%
19%
10%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |